Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.64% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.