/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
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Courtney Baker-Richardson
28'
-
Anthony Glennon
40'
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Sammy Braybroke
76'
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Jay Mingi
49'
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Louis Moult
73'
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James Connolly
90'+1'
Newport County vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.43% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result
Newport County
20.32%
▼
(-0.52)
Draw
23.43%
▲
(+0.65)
Crewe Alexandra
56.25%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
50.87%
▼
(-2.85)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.9%
▼
(-3.40)
Under 2.5
49.1%
▲
(+3.39)
Over 3.5
28.83%
▼
(-3.15)
Under 3.5
71.17%
▲
(+3.15)
Over 4.5
13.87%
▼
(-2.19)
Under 4.5
86.13%
▲
(+2.19)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
61.49%
▼
(-2.47)
Under 0.5
38.51%
▲
(+2.47)
Over 1.5
24.74%
▼
(-2.44)
Under 1.5
75.26%
▲
(+2.43)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
82.73%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 0.5
17.27%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 1.5
52.41%
▼
(-2.25)
Under 1.5
47.59%
▲
(+2.25)
Score analysis
Newport County
20.32%
Draw
23.43%
Crewe Alexandra
56.24%
Newport County
1-0
@
6.35%
▲
(+0.46)
2-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 20.32%
2-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 20.32%
Draw
1-1
@
11.14%
▲
(+0.37)
0-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.88)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.38)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.43%
0-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.88)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.38)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.43%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1
@
11.67%
▲
(+1.10)
0-2 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.57)
1-2 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.35)
0-4 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.25)
2-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 56.24%
0-2 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.57)
1-2 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.35)
0-4 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.25)
2-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 56.24%