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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two
Dec 29, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
 
Crewe Alexandra

NewportNewport County
2-0
CreweCrewe Alexandra

Baker-Richardson (28'), Braybroke (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 29 at 7.30pm in League Two
Next Game: Bromley vs. Newport
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 29 at 7.30pm in League Two
Next Game: Crewe vs. Cheltenham
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.43% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
20.32% (-0.519 -0.52)23.43% (0.648 0.65)56.25% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-2.845 -2.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (-3.391 -3.39)49.1% (3.388 3.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-3.144 -3.14)71.17% (3.141 3.14)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-2.468 -2.47)38.51% (2.466 2.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-2.433 -2.43)75.26% (2.43 2.43)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (-1.256 -1.26)17.27% (1.253 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (-2.248 -2.25)47.59% (2.246 2.25)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 20.32%
    Crewe Alexandra 56.24%
    Draw 23.43%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.455 0.46)
2-1 @ 5.32% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.32%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.876 0.88)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.372 -0.37)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 11.67% (1.1 1.1)
0-2 @ 10.25% (0.567 0.57)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-3 @ 6.01% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.73% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.344 -0.34)
0-4 @ 2.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-5 @ 0.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 56.24%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2025 7.45pm
Crewe
2-2
Newport
Tezgel (11'), March (78')
Finney (81')
Connolly (48' og.), Antwi (90+3')
Baker-Richardson (45+1'), Baker-Richardson (46'), Wright (56'), Glennon (61'), Baker-Richardson (64')
Feb 8, 2025 3pm
gameweek 31
Crewe
0-3
Newport

Thibaut (90')
Antwi (33'), Ajiboye (45+2'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Ajiboye (60'), Thomas (66'), Antwi (67')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
gameweek 8
Newport
2-1
Crewe
Evans (33'), Baker (74')
Evans (22'), Glennon (45+6'), Baker (90+3')
Thibaut (71')
Knight-Lebel (3'), Lankester (38'), Breckin (90+1')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 25
Newport
1-1
Crewe
Evans (64')
Long (48')
Williams (72')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Crewe
4-2
Newport
Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')
Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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