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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw has a probability of 22.78% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.78%) , while for a Newport County win it is 1-0 (5.89%).
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 20.83% | 22.78% | 56.39% |
| Both teams to score 53.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% | 45.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% | 68.03% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% | 36.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% | 72.83% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% | 16.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% | 45.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 5.89% 2-1 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 3.01% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.68% 1-3 @ 6.03% 0-3 @ 5.91% 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.71% 2-4 @ 1.41% 1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.38% |