Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.