League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Gillingham 0 - 0 Newport
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sammy Braybroke

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Chesterfield 0 - 0 Bromley
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 29.25% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result

Newport County 29.25% (+0.04)
Draw 26.4% (-0.04)
Chesterfield 44.28% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.9% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 28.1% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.94% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.06% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.62% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.38% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 13.41%
Under 4.5 86.59%

First Half Winner

Newport County 24.68%
Draw 40.5% (-0.03)
Chesterfield 34.81% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Newport County 40.25% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.94% (-0.03)
Chesterfield 51.81%

Corners

Over 8 50.51% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 37.83% (+0.02)
Over 9 39.28% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 49.49% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 29.31% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.69% (+0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.02% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.98% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.73% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.27% (-0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 74.2% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.8% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.3% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.18% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.4% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newport County 29.26%
Draw 26.4%
Chesterfield 44.29%
Newport County
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.73%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Total : 29.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 26.4%
Chesterfield
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 5.58% (-0.01)
Total : 44.29%

Head to Head

League Two
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Oliver Banks 42' goal
  • Aribim Pepple 44' goal
  • Liam Mandeville 78' yellowcard
  • Armando Dobra 81' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Baker 40'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Rodney Parade
  • Cameron Antwi 40' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 48' yellowcard
  • Kyle Hudlin 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Dilan Markanday 1'
  • goal Dilan Markanday 1'
  • yellowcard Darren Oldaker 3'
  • yellowcard Harvey Araujo 56'
  • goal Will Grigg 84'
  • goal Will Grigg 87'
League Two
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kristian Dennis 71' goal
  • yellowcard Ben White 53'
League Two
Aug 26, 2017 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Frank Nouble 55' goal
  • Frank Nouble 66' goal
  • Frank Nouble 68' goal
  • Padraig Amond 82' goal
  • Sean Rigg 91' yellowcard
  • goal Chris O'Grady 37'
  • yellowcard Louis Reed 90'
League Two
Apr 5, 2014 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jimmy Ryan 49' goal
  • Jimmy Ryan 88' yellowcard
  • goal Max Porter 83'