Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 29.22% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).