League Two Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm
Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
MK Dons 1 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Callum Morton

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.30pm
Newport 0 - 1 Accrington
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sammy Braybroke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 34.8% and a draw has a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-2 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.07%).

Result

Bristol Rovers 41.52% (-0.03)
Draw 23.68%
Newport County 34.8% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.06% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.37% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 56.74% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.26% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.86% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.14% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 21.21% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 78.79% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 32.83%
Draw 43.46%
Newport County 23.71%

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 52.66%
No Goal 5.24% (-0.01)
Newport County 42.1% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.7%
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 32.82%
Over 9 44.18%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 44.3%
Over 10.5 33.57%
Under 10.5 66.43%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 43.47%
Under 1.5 56.53%
Over 2.5 20.37%
Under 2.5 79.63%
Over 3.5 7.94%
Under 3.5 92.06%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 69.3% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.7% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.63% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 62.37% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 16.07% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.93% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.69% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.31% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 41.52%
Draw 23.67%
Newport County 34.82%
Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.45%
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 7.78%
Total : 41.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.67%
Newport County
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 5.53% (+0.04)
Total : 34.82%

Head to Head

League Two
Sep 6, 2025 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Trophy
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Shane McLoughlin 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 30'
  • goal Antony Evans 37'
  • yellowcard Antony Evans 70'
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Waite 33' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 56'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 80'
  • yellowcard James Connolly 84'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Brett Pitman 45'+2' goal
  • Sam Finley 86' yellowcard
  • goal Courtney Baker-Richardson 27'
  • goal Dom Telford 31'
  • yellowcard James Clarke 39'
  • goal Dom Telford 61'
  • yellowcard Robbie Willmott 72'
  • yellowcard Courtney Baker-Richardson 86'
  • yellowcard Timmy Abraham 90'+2'
League Two
Mar 19, 2016 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alex Rodman 2' goal
  • Mark Byrne 73' yellowcard
  • Darren Jones 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Clarke 15'
  • goal Cristian Montano 55'
  • goal Matt Taylor 61'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 85'
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 87'
League Two
Oct 24, 2015 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Billy Bodin 15' goal
  • goal Tom Parkes 14' (OG)
  • goal Zak Ansah 53'
  • goal Zak Ansah 57'
  • goal Tommy O'Sullivan 75'
  • yellowcard Medy Elito 82'