League Two
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Liam Kelly 46' yellowcard
  • Callum Paterson 45'+7' goal
  • Gethin Jones 76' yellowcard
  • G. Jones 76' yellowcard
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 83' yellowcard
  • Scott Hogan 83' yellowcard
  • Marvin Ekpiteta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mees Rijks 63'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Akhamrich 68'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 77'

MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 5 - 1 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Salford City 1 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

MK Dons 51.72% (-0.01)
Draw 24.08% (+0.04)
Bristol Rovers 24.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.29% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.71% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.04% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.96% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.18% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.82% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.2% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 81.8% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 38.45% (+0.06)
Draw 42.47% (-0.04)
Bristol Rovers 19.08% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

MK Dons 57.52% (+0.08)
No Goal 6.34% (+0.02)
Bristol Rovers 36.14% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 56.86% (+0.48)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.25)
Under 8 31.23% (-0.72)
Over 9 44.8% (+0.18)
Equal 9 12.06% (+0.31)
Under 9 43.14% (-0.48)
Over 10.5 33.63% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 66.37% (+0.13)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 49.61% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 24.02% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.98% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.46% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.54% (+0.05)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 60.32% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.68% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.3% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.7% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.01% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.99% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.48% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.52% (+0.02)

Score analysis

MK Dons 51.72%
Draw 24.07%
Bristol Rovers 24.2%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 9.35% (-0.04)
Total : 51.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 24.07%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 6.73% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.37% (-0.01)
Total : 24.2%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 3'
  • goal Max Dean 90'+1'
EFL Trophy
Dec 13, 2022 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Luca Hoole 33' goal
  • John Marquis 54' goal
  • John Marquis 66' goal
  • Harvey Saunders 71' goal
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 79'
League One Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • goal Antony Evans 76'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Alex Rodman 42' yellowcard
  • Luke McCormick 70' yellowcard
  • Pablo Martinez 85' yellowcard
  • Alfie Kilgour 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Fraser 17'
  • yellowcard Matthew Sorinola 45'
  • yellowcard David Kasumu 55'
  • goal Will Grigg 60'
  • yellowcard Andy Fisher 78'
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Ben Gladwin 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Gladwin 45'+3' goal
  • Scott Fraser 63' goal
  • Richard Keogh 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 85'