League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 0 - 0 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Salford City 0 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Callum Morton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 24.2% and a draw has a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 0-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.21%).

Result

MK Dons 51.72% (-0.01)
Draw 24.08% (+0.04)
Bristol Rovers 24.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.29% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.71% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.04% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.96% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.18% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.82% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.2% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 81.8% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 38.45% (+0.06)
Draw 42.47% (-0.04)
Bristol Rovers 19.08% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

MK Dons 57.52% (+0.08)
No Goal 6.34% (+0.02)
Bristol Rovers 36.14% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 56.86% (+0.48)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.25)
Under 8 31.23% (-0.72)
Over 9 44.8% (+0.18)
Equal 9 12.06% (+0.31)
Under 9 43.14% (-0.48)
Over 10.5 33.63% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 66.37% (+0.13)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 49.61% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 24.02% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.98% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.46% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.54% (+0.05)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 60.32% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.68% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.3% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.7% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.01% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.99% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.48% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.52% (+0.02)

Score analysis

MK Dons 51.72%
Draw 24.07%
Bristol Rovers 24.2%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 9.35% (-0.04)
Total : 51.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 24.07%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 6.73% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.37% (-0.01)
Total : 24.2%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 3'
  • goal Max Dean 90'+1'
EFL Trophy
Dec 13, 2022 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Luca Hoole 33' goal
  • John Marquis 54' goal
  • John Marquis 66' goal
  • Harvey Saunders 71' goal
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 79'
League One Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • goal Antony Evans 76'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Alex Rodman 42' yellowcard
  • Luke McCormick 70' yellowcard
  • Pablo Martinez 85' yellowcard
  • Alfie Kilgour 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Fraser 17'
  • yellowcard Matthew Sorinola 45'
  • yellowcard David Kasumu 55'
  • goal Will Grigg 60'
  • yellowcard Andy Fisher 78'
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Ben Gladwin 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Gladwin 45'+3' goal
  • Scott Fraser 63' goal
  • Richard Keogh 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 85'