Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.