League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Cheltenham 0 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
Swindon 2 - 0 Newport
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sammy Braybroke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 64.14%. A draw has a probability of 20.86% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 15%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10%) , while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (5.14%).

Result

MK Dons 64.14%
Draw 20.86%
Newport County 15%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.72% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.15% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 23.85% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.84%
Under 2.5 47.16%
Over 3.5 30.08%
Under 3.5 69.92%
Over 4.5 18.9% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.1% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 47.44%
Draw 39.08%
Newport County 13.48%

Team To Score First

MK Dons 66.52%
No Goal 6.08% (-0.01)
Newport County 27.4% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 34.98%
Over 9 41.2%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 47%
Over 10.5 30.58%
Under 10.5 69.42%

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 57.33% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.67% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 30.96%
Under 2.5 69.04%
Over 3.5 13.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 86.53% (+0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 48.75% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 51.25% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.38% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 82.62% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.37% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.63% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.91%
Under 3.5 99.09%

Score analysis

MK Dons 64.15%
Draw 20.86%
Newport County 15%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-0 @ 11.2% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.13%
3-0 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 13.45% (-0.03)
Total : 64.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10%
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 20.86%
Newport County
0-1 @ 5.14%
1-2 @ 4.17%
0-2 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 15%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 23, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 23' yellowcard
  • Laurence Maguire 39' yellowcard
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 43' yellowcard
  • Tommi O'Reilly 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Courtney Baker-Richardson 50'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hudlin 89'
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
6
3
HT : 4 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Bryn Morris 12' goal
  • Bryn Morris 16' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 23' goal
  • Bryn Morris 36' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 47' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 79' yellowcard
  • Bobby Kamwa 81' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 34'
  • goal Luke Offord 45'+3'
  • goal Joe White 71'
  • yellowcard Joe White 72'
  • goal Luke Offord 75'
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 79'
League Two Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Dan Kemp 12' goal
  • Jack Payne 23' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 29' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 83' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Wildig 25'
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 31'
  • yellowcard Will Evans 85'
League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Omar Bogle 15' yellowcard
  • Will Evans 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Norman 67'
  • yellowcard Jack Payne 90'+5'
EFL Trophy
Nov 22, 2022 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Darragh Burns 27' goal
  • Matthew Dennis 59' goal
  • Will Grigg 77' goal
  • goal Jack Tucker 85' (OG)