League Two Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm
Blundell Park

Grimsby Town vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Colchester 0 - 1 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Darragh Burns

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
MK Dons 1 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for MK Dons has a probability of 33.92% and a draw has a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win is 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.82%).

Result

Grimsby Town 41.52% (-0.09)
Draw 24.53%
MK Dons 33.92% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.37% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.25% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 20.75% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 57.51%
Under 2.5 42.49% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.57% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 64.43% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 21.32% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.68% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Grimsby Town 31.44% (+0.08)
Draw 42.02% (-0.08)
MK Dons 26.54%

Team To Score First

Grimsby Town 48.27% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.85%
MK Dons 45.88% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.8% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.05% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.14% (+0.04)
Over 9 40.99% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.81% (-0.01)
Under 9 47.2% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.37% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 69.63% (+0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 1.5 44.41% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 55.59% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 20.6% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 79.4% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.02% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.98% (+0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 68.97% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.03% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.27% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 61.73% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.2% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.8% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.54% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.46% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Grimsby Town 41.51%
Draw 24.53%
MK Dons 33.91%
Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.79% (-0.01)
Total : 41.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.53%
MK Dons
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-1 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.31% (+0.02)
Total : 33.91%

Head to Head

League Two
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • 83' goal
  • Callum Hendry 85' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Danny Rose 16' goal
  • Tyrell Warren 88' yellowcard
  • Denver Hume 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Gilbey 49'
  • goal Scott Hogan 53'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 65'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 90'+4'
  • goal Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Arthur Gnahoua 9' yellowcard
  • Toby Mullarkey 16' yellowcard
  • Justin Obikwu 33' goal
  • Gavan Holohan 44' yellowcard
  • Denver Hume 73' yellowcard
  • Curtis Thompson 90' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium mk
  • MJ Williams 45'+7' yellowcard
  • MJ Williams 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 66' goal
  • Jack Payne 66' goal
  • goal Rekeil Pyke 20'
  • goal Rekeil Pyke 20'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 64'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 64'
  • yellowcard Callum Ainley 85'
  • yellowcard Callum Ainley 85'
  • yellowcard Donovan Wilson 90'
  • yellowcard Donovan Wilson 90'
League Two Gameweek 30
Jan 26, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park (Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire)
  • Ludvig Ohman 25' yellowcard
  • Wes Thomas 27' goal
  • Harry Davis 41' redcard
  • Alex Whitmore 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 45'
  • yellowcard Baily Cargill 61'