League Two
Gameweek
26
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-
Jake Batty
37'
-
Jake Thomas Batty
37'
-
Fletcher Holman
46'
-
Ollie Palmer
46'
-
Fletcher Holman
63'
-
Joe Thomas
66'
-
Jamie Knight-Lebel
67'
-
Aidan Borland
77'
-
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa
60'
-
James Crole
60'
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Cole Lewis Jarvis
78'
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Cole Jarvis
78'
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Anthony Glennon
88'
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Ben Lloyd
88'
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Anthony Driscoll-Glennon
88'
Swindon Town vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.31% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result
Swindon Town
63.05%
▲
(+0.78)
Draw
21.31%
▼
(-0.23)
Newport County
15.61%
▼
(-0.59)
Both Teams to Score:
48.44%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.43%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
23.57%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
52.91%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
47.09%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
29.87%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
70.13%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
18.85%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
81.15%
▲
(+0.14)
First Half Winner
Swindon Town
44.27%
▲
(+0.30)
Draw
39.77%
▼
(-0.26)
Newport County
15.96%
▼
(-0.03)
Team To Score First
Swindon Town
63.61%
▼
(-0.36)
No Goal
6.26%
Newport County
30.13%
▲
(+0.36)
Corners
Over 8
63.87%
▼
(-0.15)
Equal 8
10.56%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 8
25.57%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 9
52.58%
▼
(-0.15)
Equal 9
11.29%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
36.13%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 10.5
41.5%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 10.5
58.5%
▲
(+0.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 1.5
56.78%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
43.22%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 2.5
30.39%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
69.61%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
13.31%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
86.69%
▼
(-0.10)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
49.51%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
50.49%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
17.93%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
82.07%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 2.5
4.81%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 2.5
95.19%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 3.5
1%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
99%
▲
(+0.16)
Score analysis
Swindon Town
63.06%
Draw
21.3%
Newport County
15.6%
Swindon Town
1-0
@
12.15%
▲
(+0.16)
2-0 @ 11.14% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 13.26% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 63.06%
2-0 @ 11.14% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 13.26% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 63.06%
Draw
1-1
@
10.29%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 21.3%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 21.3%
Newport County
0-1
@
5.12%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.95% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 15.6%
1-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.95% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 15.6%