League Two Gameweek 26
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
Swindon 0 - 0 Oldham
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Joe Snowdon

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Newport 0 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sammy Braybroke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw has a probability of 21.53% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.26%) , while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (5.2%).

Result

Swindon Town 62.2% (-0.26)
Draw 21.53% (-0.02)
Newport County 16.24% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.78% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.55% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.45% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 53.12% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 69.8% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.99% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.01% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 43.99% (+0.03)
Draw 40.03% (-0.04)
Newport County 15.98% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 63.92% (-0.18)
No Goal 6.24% (+0.01)
Newport County 29.84% (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 64.04% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.54% (-0.02)
Under 8 25.41% (+0.04)
Over 9 52.76%
Equal 9 11.28% (-0.03)
Under 9 35.96% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.67% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 58.33% (-0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 56.46% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 43.54% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 30.05% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 69.95% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 13.2% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 86.8% (+0.04)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 50.25% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 49.75% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 18.75% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 81.25% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 5.27% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 94.73% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 1.15% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.85% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 62.19%
Draw 21.53%
Newport County 16.24%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 11% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.12% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.1% (-0.04)
Total : 62.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 21.53%
Newport County
0-1 @ 5.2% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.54% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.18% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.21% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.21% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.05% (+0.05)
Total : 16.24%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 4, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Kyle Hudlin 12' goal
  • Kyle Hudlin 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kieron Evans 47' yellowcard
  • Kai Whitmore 57' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Smith 15'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 45'+1'
  • goal Joe Westley 75'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT County Ground
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 4' goal
  • Paul Glatzel 18' goal
  • Matthew Baker 21' goal
  • Joel Cotterill 45' goal
  • Gavin Kilkenny 56' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 12.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Shane McLoughlin 3' yellowcard
  • Scot Bennett 39' yellowcard
  • Will Evans 53' goal
  • Seb Palmer-Houlden 74' goal
  • goal Paul Glatzel 46'
  • yellowcard Williams Kokolo 51'
  • yellowcard Dawson Devoy 72'
  • yellowcard Jack Bycroft 75'
  • yellowcard Saidou Khan 77'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
  • Dan Kemp 8' goal
  • Tom Brewitt 36' yellowcard
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 82' goal
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Cameron Norman 54' goal
  • Calum Kavanagh 78' goal
  • goal Tomi Adeloye 90'+1'