League Two
Notts County
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon
  • Alassana Jatta 44' goal
  • Matthew Dennis 65' yellowcard
  • Matthew Dennis 66' goal
  • Lucas Ness 76' yellowcard
  • Scott Robertson 77' yellowcard
  • Maz Kouhyar 85' yellowcard
  • Lee Ndlovu 85' yellowcard
  • Maziar Kouhyar 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Clarke 39'
  • yellowcard Ollie Palmer 59'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 59'
  • yellowcard Michael Olakigbe 73'
  • yellowcard Jake Tabor 73'
  • yellowcard J. Tabor 73'

Notts County vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
Notts County 1 - 0 Crewe
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Bromley 2 - 1 Swindon
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Notts County 41.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 24.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Swindon Town 33.96% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.52% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 20.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 57.2% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 42.77% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 34.59% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 65.41% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 19.93% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.07% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Notts County 33.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 41.12% ▲ (+0.12)
Swindon Town 25.54%

Team To Score First

Notts County 49.87% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Swindon Town 44.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.44% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 33.36% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 44.24% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 44.56% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 33.9% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 66.1% ▼ (-0.18)

Notts County Goals

Over 1.5 44.13%
Under 1.5 55.87%
Over 2.5 19.96%
Under 2.5 80.04%
Over 3.5 7.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 30.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 37.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 15.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 84.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.81% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Notts County 41.63%
Draw 24.41%
Swindon Town 33.96%
Notts County
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 7.24%
Total : 41.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.41%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-1 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 33.96%

Head to Head

League Two
Swindon
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
LIVE
Notts County
League Two Gameweek 25
Notts County
Jan 4, 2025 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon
  • David McGoldrick 17' goal
  • David McGoldrick 36' goal
  • yellowcard Gavin Kilkenny 29'
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 58'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 82'
  • yellowcard Will Wright 85'
League Two Gameweek 4
Swindon
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT County Ground
Notts County
  • Gavin Kilkenny 21' goal
  • goal David McGoldrick 30'
  • yellowcard David McGoldrick 69'
  • goal David McGoldrick 80'
League Two Gameweek 41
Swindon
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
Notts County
  • Aaron Drinan 19' goal
  • Ricky Aguiar 23' yellowcard
  • Williams Kokolo 72' yellowcard
  • Paul Glatzel 73' goal
  • Frazer Blake-Tracy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 11
Notts County
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon
  • David McGoldrick 10' goal
  • David McGoldrick 10' goal
  • John Bostock 12' yellowcard
  • John Bostock 12' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 35' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 35' goal
  • Dan Crowley 37' goal
  • Dan Crowley 37' goal
  • Jim O'Brien 83' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrese Shade 49'
  • goal Tyrese Shade 49'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 56'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 56'
  • yellowcard Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 72'
League Two Gameweek 46
Swindon
May 4, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire)
Notts County
  • Michael Doughty 38' yellowcard
  • Kaiyne Woolery 69' goal
  • Theo Robinson 74' goal
  • Theo Robinson 92' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 52'

Form Data

Notts County 1 - 0 Crewe
Crawley 0 - 0 Notts County
Oldham 0 - 0 Notts County
Notts County 0 - 1 Accrington
MK Dons 1 - 1 Notts County
Chesterfield 2 - 0 Notts County
Bromley 2 - 1 Swindon
Salford City 3 - 2 Swindon
Swindon 0 - 0 Salford City
Luton 1 - 2 Swindon
Swindon 2 - 0 Gillingham
Cheltenham 0 - 2 Swindon