League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 0 - 0 Notts County
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 0 - 0 Barrow
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emre Tezgel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Crewe Alexandra has a probability of 32.86% and a draw has a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Notts County 42.68% (-1.48)
Draw 24.53% (+0.05)
Crewe Alexandra 32.86% (+1.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% (+1.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.97% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 24.03% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 52.53% (+0.85)
Under 2.5 47.47% (-0.85)
Over 3.5 29.75% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 70.25% (-0.44)
Over 4.5 16.45% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 83.55% (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Notts County 31.91% (-2.34)
Draw 41.17% (+0.35)
Crewe Alexandra 26.92% (+2.00)

Team To Score First

Notts County 49.35% (-1.45)
No Goal 6.38% (-0.26)
Crewe Alexandra 44.27% (+1.72)

Corners

Over 8 51.79% (+0.50)
Equal 8 11.96% (+0.04)
Under 8 36.25% (-0.53)
Over 9 40.16% (+0.42)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.08)
Under 9 48.21% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 29.78% (+0.34)
Under 10.5 70.22% (-0.33)

Notts County Goals

Over 1.5 42.27% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 57.73% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 18.28% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 81.72% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 6.39% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.61% (+0.16)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 67.65% (+1.60)
Under 0.5 32.35% (-1.59)
Over 1.5 33.88% (+1.48)
Under 1.5 66.12% (-1.47)
Over 2.5 12.7% (+0.92)
Under 2.5 87.3% (-0.93)
Over 3.5 3.81% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 96.19% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Notts County 42.68%
Draw 24.53%
Crewe Alexandra 32.86%
Notts County
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.46)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.38% (-0.17)
Total : 42.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.52% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.53%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 8.39% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 7.78% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 5.01% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.21% (+0.29)
Other @ 3.8% (+0.34)
Total : 32.86%

Head to Head

League Two
Sep 27, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Charlie Whitaker 38' yellowcard
  • Jacob Bedeau 45' yellowcard
  • George Abbott 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mickey Demetriou 83'
League Two Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Shilow Tracey 40' goal
  • Matus Holicek 57' yellowcard
  • Ryan Cooney 62' goal
  • Ryan Cooney 64' yellowcard
  • Zac Williams 67' yellowcard
  • Filip Marshall 71' yellowcard
  • Max Sanders 75' yellowcard
  • Shilow Tracey 80' yellowcard
  • Chris Long 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 3'
  • yellowcard Stuart Maynard 4'
League Two Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Luca Ashby-Hammond 18' yellowcard
  • John Bostock 53' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 81' yellowcard
  • Jim O'Brien 83' goal
  • Alassana Jatta 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mickey Demetriou 5'
  • goal Elliott Nevitt 19'
  • yellowcard Charlie Kirk 27'
  • yellowcard Mickey Demetriou 53'
  • goal Josh Austerfield 77'
  • yellowcard Ed Turns 81'
  • yellowcard Rio Adebisi 88'
League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Luke Offord 14' yellowcard
  • Ryan Cooney 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Cameron 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 50'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 70'
  • yellowcard Jodi Jones 88'
  • yellowcard Will Randall 89'
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 13, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Alexandra Stadium (Crewe, Cheshire)
  • Aaron Taylor-Sinclair 31' goal
  • Ryan Wintle 77' goal
  • James Jones 83' goal
  • yellowcard Kane Hemmings 43'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 85'