Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.81% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.