Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.