League Two Gameweek 35
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm
Swindon 1 - 2 Crewe
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 3 - 1 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw has a probability of 23.69% and a win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Bristol Rovers win it is 0-1 (6.31%).

Result

Swindon Town 55.46% (+0.08)
Draw 23.69%
Bristol Rovers 20.89% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.06% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.82% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.18% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.92% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.08% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.81% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 71.19% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.61% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.39% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 40.52%
Draw 40.98%
Bristol Rovers 18.5%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 60.31% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.9% (+0.02)
Bristol Rovers 32.79% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.02%
Equal 8 10.99%
Under 8 26.99% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.44% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 37.98%
Over 10.5 39.25% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.75% (-0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 50.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 49.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.87%
Under 2.5 75.13%
Over 3.5 9.71%
Under 3.5 90.29%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 55.82% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 44.18% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.03% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.97% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.14% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.86% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.84% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.16% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 55.46%
Draw 23.7%
Bristol Rovers 20.88%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 12.01% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.89% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 9.54%
Total : 55.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.7%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 6.31%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Total : 20.88%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Shaq Forde 27' yellowcard
  • Kacper Lopata 36' redcard
  • goal Joe Snowdon 16'
  • goal Ollie Clarke 28'
  • goal Aaron Drinan 33'
  • yellowcard Aaron Drinan 34'
  • yellowcard Aaron Drinan 58'
EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT County Ground
  • Paul Glatzel 2' goal
  • Paul Glatzel 12' goal
  • Joel McGregor 30' goal
  • Botan Ameen 35' goal
  • yellowcard Isaac Hutchinson 28'
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 59'
EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ryan Loft 63' goal
  • Harry Anderson 76' goal
  • Luke McCormick 83' goal
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tyreece Simpson 16' goal
  • Ellis Iandolo 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor Taylor 25'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 32'
  • goal Sam Finley 35'
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 40'
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 74'
  • yellowcard Joshua Grant 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Luca Hoole 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Anderson 17' goal
  • Alfie Kilgour 79' yellowcard
  • Alfie Kilgour 84' redcard
  • Cian Harries 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Payne 57'
  • goal Ben Gladwin 85'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 87'
League One Gameweek 29
Mar 23, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ed Upson 21' yellowcard
  • George Williams 76' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Payne 71'