League Two
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Boundary Park
  • Kane Drummond 1' goal
  • Mike Fondop 59' goal
  • Mike Fondop 59' yellowcard
  • R. Woods 60' yellowcard
  • Luke Hannant 79' yellowcard
  • Oliver Hammond 85' yellowcard
  • Joe Garner 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 66'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Akhamrich 72'
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 72'
  • yellowcard Mees Rijks 72'
  • yellowcard R. De Havilland 80'

Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Oldham 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Jack Stevens

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Cambridge 3 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.06% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%) , while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Oldham Athletic 47.13% (-0.18)
Draw 27.06% (+0.17)
Bristol Rovers 25.81% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.54% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.56% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 30.44% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 44.4% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 55.6% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 23.39% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 76.61% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 12.33% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.67% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Oldham Athletic 31.4% (+0.92)
Draw 46.37% (-2.07)
Bristol Rovers 22.23% (+1.16)

Team To Score First

Oldham Athletic 52.12% (-0.48)
No Goal 9.13% (+0.09)
Bristol Rovers 38.75% (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 54.44% (+0.95)
Equal 8 12.08% (-0.17)
Under 8 33.48% (-0.80)
Over 9 42.44% (+1.01)
Equal 9 12% (-0.08)
Under 9 45.56% (-0.94)
Over 10.5 31.53% (+0.99)
Under 10.5 68.47% (-0.99)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 41.46% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58.54% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 17.33% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 82.67% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.85% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.15% (+0.02)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 59.34% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 40.66% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 25.2% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 74.8% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 7.86% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 92.14% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.03% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.97% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 47.13%
Draw 27.06%
Bristol Rovers 25.81%
Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.79% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.69% (-0.02)
Total : 47.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 27.06%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.12% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.87% (+0.07)
Total : 25.81%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Davis Keillor-Dunn 1' goal
  • Davis Keillor-Dunn 31' goal
  • Jordan Clarke 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nicholson 43'
  • yellowcard Nick Anderton 52'
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 64'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Harvey Saunders 22' yellowcard
  • Harvey Saunders 35' goal
  • Brett Pitman 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Whelan 4'
  • yellowcard Raphael Diarra 47'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Cisse 73'
League One
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Davies 72' goal
  • Kean Bryan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Sinclair 38'
  • goal Billy Bodin 49'
League One
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rory Gaffney 83' goal
  • Ryan Sweeney 85' goal
  • Dominic Telford 97' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Byrne 49'
  • yellowcard Dan Gardner 60'
  • goal Craig Davies 71'
  • goal Eoin Doyle 88'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Fane 97'
League One
Apr 17, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stuart Sinclair 63' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 75' goal