League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Boundary Park

Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Oldham 0 - 0 Fleetwood
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Michael Mellon

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Cambridge 0 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Callum Morton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw has a probability of 26.89% and a win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Bristol Rovers win it is 0-1 (8.49%).

Result

Oldham Athletic 47.31% (+0.04)
Draw 26.89% (+0.04)
Bristol Rovers 25.77% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.4% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.38% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 30.62% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 44.23% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 55.77% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 23.24% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 76.76% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 12.32% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.68% (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Oldham Athletic 30.49% (-0.02)
Draw 48.43% (+0.03)
Bristol Rovers 21.08% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Oldham Athletic 52.59% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.05% (+0.06)
Bristol Rovers 38.36% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 53.49% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.24% (+0.02)
Under 8 34.27% (-0.08)
Over 9 41.43% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.04)
Under 9 46.5% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 30.55% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 69.45% (-0.01)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 41.37% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 58.63% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 17.42% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 82.58% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.86% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.14% (+0.02)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 59.16% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 40.84% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 25.08% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 74.92% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 7.77% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.23% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.96% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.04% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 47.31%
Draw 26.89%
Bristol Rovers 25.78%
Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 13.06% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.71% (-0.03)
Total : 47.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 9.05% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 26.89%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.81% (-0.04)
Total : 25.78%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Davis Keillor-Dunn 1' goal
  • Davis Keillor-Dunn 31' goal
  • Jordan Clarke 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nicholson 43'
  • yellowcard Nick Anderton 52'
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 64'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Harvey Saunders 22' yellowcard
  • Harvey Saunders 35' goal
  • Brett Pitman 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Whelan 4'
  • yellowcard Raphael Diarra 47'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Cisse 73'
League One
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Davies 72' goal
  • Kean Bryan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Sinclair 38'
  • goal Billy Bodin 49'
League One
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rory Gaffney 83' goal
  • Ryan Sweeney 85' goal
  • Dominic Telford 97' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Byrne 49'
  • yellowcard Dan Gardner 60'
  • goal Craig Davies 71'
  • goal Eoin Doyle 88'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Fane 97'
League One
Apr 17, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stuart Sinclair 63' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 75' goal