League Two
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Hive Stadium
  • Adam Senior 9' goal
  • Oliver Hawkins 64' yellowcard
  • Oli Hawkins 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Winterburn 69' yellowcard
  • Jack Howland 69' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 81' yellowcard
  • Kane Smith 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Clarke 50'
  • yellowcard Michael Olakigbe 55'
  • goal Ollie Clarke 63'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 68'
  • yellowcard Ollie Palmer 68'
  • yellowcard Billy Kirkman 87'
  • yellowcard Filozofe Mabete 87'

Barnet vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 12.30pm
Barnet 0 - 0 Cheltenham
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Adam Senior

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 3 - 1 Swindon
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Barnet 46.51% (-0.57)
Draw 25% (+1.15)
Swindon Town 28.52% (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.13% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.77% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.23% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 53.03% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 46.97% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 30.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.74% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.92% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 83.08% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Barnet 36.03% (-3.00)
Draw 40.6% (+0.81)
Swindon Town 23.37% (+2.20)

Team To Score First

Barnet 56.93% (-1.68)
No Goal 6.79% (+0.28)
Swindon Town 36.28% (+1.40)

Corners

Over 8 61.77% (+2.90)
Equal 8 10.69% (-0.32)
Under 8 27.54% (-2.59)
Over 9 50.54% (+2.97)
Equal 9 11.23% (-0.08)
Under 9 38.23% (-2.90)
Over 10.5 39.69% (+2.80)
Under 10.5 60.31% (-2.80)

Barnet Goals

Over 1.5 45.47% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 54.53% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 21.11% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 78.89% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 7.61% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 92.39% (-0.19)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.24% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 35.76% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 31.1% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 68.9% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 11.15% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 88.85% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.21% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.79% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Barnet 46.5%
Draw 24.99%
Swindon Town 28.52%
Barnet
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.22% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.13)
Other @ 7.39% (-0.03)
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 6.79% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.19)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.21)
Total : 24.99%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.24% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.99% (-0.11)
Total : 28.52%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Jan 1, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • John Akinde 20' goal
  • Michael Nelson 45' yellowcard
  • David Tutonda 84' yellowcard
  • Jamal Campbell-Ryce 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Iandolo 17'
  • goal Matt Preston 45'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 77'
League Two
Sep 2, 2017 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Luke Norris 12' yellowcard
  • Donal McDermott 50' redcard
  • Luke Norris 78' goal
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 10'
  • goal Jamal Campbell-Ryce 16'
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 65'
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 69'
  • redcard Andre Blackman 80'
League Two
Apr 3, 2012 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jordan Mustoe 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Smith 1'
  • goal Oliver Risser 31'
League Two
Sep 24, 2011 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Raffaele De Vita 11' goal
  • yellowcard Darren Dennehy 35'
  • yellowcard Clovis Kamdjo 60'
  • yellowcard Tommy Fraser 89'
  • yellowcard Daniel Leach 90'
League Two
Feb 20, 2007 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nick Bailey 4' yellowcard
  • Jason Puncheon 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Timlin 28'
  • yellowcard Jack Smith 54'
  • yellowcard Christian Roberts 80'
  • yellowcard Jerel Ifil 86'