League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
The Hive Stadium

Barnet vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 12.30pm
Barnet 0 - 0 Cheltenham
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Mark Shelton

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Joe Snowdon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barnet win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 29.08% and a draw has a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 0-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.96%).

Result

Barnet 47.07% (+0.10)
Draw 23.85%
Swindon Town 29.08% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.7% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.3% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.85% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.25% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.75% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.88% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.12% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Barnet 39.02% (+0.03)
Draw 39.8% (+0.06)
Swindon Town 21.18% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Barnet 58.6% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.52% (-0.02)
Swindon Town 34.88% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 58.88% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.12% (-0.12)
Over 9 47.58% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.3% (+0.03)
Under 9 41.12% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 36.89% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 63.11% (-0.08)

Barnet Goals

Over 1.5 45.41% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 54.59% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 20.7% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 79.3% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.42% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.58% (-0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.38% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 35.62% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.02% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 68.98% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.08% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 88.92% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.11% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Barnet 47.07%
Draw 23.86%
Swindon Town 29.06%
Barnet
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.03% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.41% (+0.03)
Total : 47.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.86%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.1% (-0.01)
Total : 29.06%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Jan 1, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • John Akinde 20' goal
  • Michael Nelson 45' yellowcard
  • David Tutonda 84' yellowcard
  • Jamal Campbell-Ryce 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Iandolo 17'
  • goal Matt Preston 45'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 77'
League Two
Sep 2, 2017 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Luke Norris 12' yellowcard
  • Donal McDermott 50' redcard
  • Luke Norris 78' goal
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 10'
  • goal Jamal Campbell-Ryce 16'
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 65'
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 69'
  • redcard Andre Blackman 80'
League Two
Apr 3, 2012 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jordan Mustoe 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Smith 1'
  • goal Oliver Risser 31'
League Two
Sep 24, 2011 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Raffaele De Vita 11' goal
  • yellowcard Darren Dennehy 35'
  • yellowcard Clovis Kamdjo 60'
  • yellowcard Tommy Fraser 89'
  • yellowcard Daniel Leach 90'
League Two
Feb 20, 2007 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nick Bailey 4' yellowcard
  • Jason Puncheon 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Timlin 28'
  • yellowcard Jack Smith 54'
  • yellowcard Christian Roberts 80'
  • yellowcard Jerel Ifil 86'