Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.