Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.