League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley Town vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jay Williams

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Robbie McKenzie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Gillingham has a probability of 32.7% and a draw has a probability of 27.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Gillingham win is 0-1 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result

Crawley Town 39.6% (+0.15)
Draw 27.69% (-0.09)
Gillingham 32.7% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.72% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.22% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 29.78% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 45.12% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 54.88% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 23.74% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 76.26% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 12.41% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 87.59% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Crawley Town 30.02% (+0.04)
Draw 44.31% (-0.16)
Gillingham 25.67% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Crawley Town 48.34% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.87% (-0.12)
Gillingham 42.79% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 64.43% (+0.34)
Equal 8 10.84% (-0.02)
Under 8 24.73% (-0.33)
Over 9 52.77% (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.66% (+0.01)
Under 9 35.57% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 41.3% (+0.28)
Under 10.5 58.7% (-0.28)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 1.5 36.38% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 63.62% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 14.06% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 85.94% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.35% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.65% (-0.08)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 65.75% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.25% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.07% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 68.93% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 11.06% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 88.94% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.19% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.81% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 39.61%
Draw 27.69%
Gillingham 32.7%
Crawley Town
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.51% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.92% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.56% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.09% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.23% (+0.09)
Total : 39.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.87% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.69%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.07% (+0.03)
Total : 32.7%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 15, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Max Ehmer 12' yellowcard
  • Scott Malone 22' yellowcard
  • goal Will Wright 24'
  • yellowcard Will Wright 24'
  • yellowcard Ronan Darcy 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 63'
  • goal Jack Roles 71'
  • yellowcard Adam Campbell 73'
  • yellowcard Ade Adeyemo 81'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Liam Kelly 53' yellowcard
  • Ronan Darcy 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Corey Addai 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shadrach Ogie 3'
  • goal Harry Ransom 40' (OG)
  • yellowcard Cheye Alexander 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Scott Malone 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Shaun Williams 48' goal
League Two Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
EFL Cup
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
ET The People's Pension Stadium
  • Sam Ashford 55' goal
  • Ludwig Francillette 74' yellowcard
  • Archie Davies 90'+7' goal
  • goal Gerald Sithole 3'
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 36'
  • goal Daniel Phillips 90'+5'