League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Gillingham 1 - 5 MK Dons
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Robbie McKenzie

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 2 - 2 Swindon
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Gillingham has a probability of 27.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Gillingham win is 1-0 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.81%).

Result

Gillingham 27.74%
Draw 25.31%
Swindon Town 46.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.11%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.19% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.81% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.3% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 48.7% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 28.96% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.04%
Over 4.5 16.33% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.67% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Gillingham 22.86%
Draw 39.52%
Swindon Town 37.62%

Team To Score First

Gillingham 36.18% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.01)
Swindon Town 56.99%

Corners

Over 8 60.28% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 28.67% (-0.03)
Over 9 48.79% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 39.72% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.82% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 62.18% (-0.04)

Gillingham Goals

Over 1.5 29.47% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.53% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.77% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.8%
Under 3.5 97.2%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.7%
Under 0.5 23.3%
Over 1.5 45.24% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.76% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 20.54% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.46% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.87%
Under 3.5 92.13%

Score analysis

Gillingham 27.74%
Draw 25.31%
Swindon Town 46.94%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.31%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59%
0-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.77%
Total : 46.94%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • J. Tabor 48' yellowcard
  • Ryan Tafazolli 59' goal
  • James Ball 82' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Bradley Dack 68'
  • yellowcard Robbie McKenzie 68'
  • yellowcard Jonny Smith 69'
  • yellowcard S. Palmer-Houlden 79'
  • yellowcard Sam Vokes 84'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
  • Sam Gale 13' yellowcard
  • Joseph Gbode 61' goal
  • Joseph Gbode 61' goal
  • Jonny Williams 67' yellowcard
  • Joseph Gbode 69' yellowcard
  • Jonny Williams 90'+3' redcard
  • Joseph Gbode 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Kabongo Tshimanga 45'
  • goal Will Wright 67'
  • yellowcard Paul Glatzel 78'
  • yellowcard Miguel Freckleton 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT County Ground
  • Grant Hall 9' redcard
  • Ollie Clarke 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Bonner 10'
  • goal Timothee Dieng 16'
  • yellowcard Euan Williams 61'
  • yellowcard Oliver Hawkins 82'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Timothee Dieng 52' yellowcard
  • S 53' yellowcard
  • Oliver Hawkins 68' goal
  • Connor Mahoney 79' goal
  • goal Sean McGurk 24'
  • yellowcard Frazer Blake-Tracy 78'
  • yellowcard George McEachran 83'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT County Ground
  • goal Connor Mahoney 22'
  • yellowcard Jayden Clarke 68'
  • yellowcard Cheye Alexander 79'
League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Jonny Williams 1' goal
  • Charlie Austin 57' goal
  • Charlie Austin 78' goal
  • goal Timothee Dieng 3'
  • goal Will Wright 9'
  • goal Tom Nichols 13'