League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 2 - 2 Swindon
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 4 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for MK Dons has a probability of 34.76% and a draw has a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest MK Dons win is 0-1 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Swindon Town 38.16%
Draw 27.08%
MK Dons 34.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.1%
Under 1.5 26.9%
Over 2.5 48.46%
Under 2.5 51.54%
Over 3.5 26.61%
Under 3.5 73.39%
Over 4.5 14.22%
Under 4.5 85.78%

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 29.96%
Draw 42.61%
MK Dons 27.44%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 45.59%
No Goal 7.74%
MK Dons 46.67%

Corners

Over 8 60.87%
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 27.98%
Over 9 49.22%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 39.13%
Over 10.5 38.07%
Under 10.5 61.93%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 37.16%
Under 1.5 62.84%
Over 2.5 14.77%
Under 2.5 85.23%
Over 3.5 4.66%
Under 3.5 95.34%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 68.62%
Under 0.5 31.38%
Over 1.5 34.63%
Under 1.5 65.37%
Over 2.5 13.02%
Under 2.5 86.98%
Over 3.5 4.09%
Under 3.5 95.91%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 38.16%
Draw 27.08%
MK Dons 34.76%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 38.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.08%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 34.76%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Aaron Nemane 17' goal
  • Will Collar 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 21'
  • yellowcard Darren Oldaker 53'
EFL Trophy
Nov 11, 2025 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
  • Harry Smith 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Sanders 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 68'
League Two Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 45'+4' goal
  • MJ Williams 57' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 64' goal
  • Callum Hendry 86' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Smith 1'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 62'
  • yellowcard Ian Holloway 63'
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT County Ground
  • Saidou Khan 45' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 75' yellowcard
  • Charlie Austin 89' goal
  • goal Stephen Wearne 4'
  • goal Stephen Wearne 8'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 29'
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Conor Grant 27' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 39' goal
  • Daniel Harvie 54' yellowcard
  • Warren O'Hora 66' goal
  • George McEachran 84' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Clayton 29'
  • yellowcard Saidou Khan 37'
  • yellowcard George McEachran 53'
  • goal Jake Young 59'
  • yellowcard Charlie Austin 86'
  • goal Frazer Blake-Tracy 90'+4'