League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Ollie Clarke 56' goal
  • Fletcher Holman 63' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 63' yellowcard
  • Ollie Palmer 68' yellowcard
  • Filozofe Mabete 78' yellowcard
  • Filozofe Mabete 79' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Gilbey 36'
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 60'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 71'
  • yellowcard Curtis Nelson 71'
  • goal Marvin Ekpiteta 79'
  • yellowcard Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 88'

Swindon Town vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 2 - 2 Swindon
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Gillingham 1 - 5 MK Dons
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Swindon Town 36.48% (+0.08)
Draw 26.69% (-0.03)
MK Dons 36.84% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.5% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.59% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 25.41% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 50.44% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 49.56% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 27.88% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.12% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.17% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.83% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 28.68%
Draw 42.06%
MK Dons 29.26%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 44.92% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.19% (-0.05)
MK Dons 47.89% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.12% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 26.91% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.55% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 37.88% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 39.37% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 60.63% (+0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 36.77% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 63.23% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 14.7% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.3% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.57% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.43% (-0.03)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 70.68% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.32% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.24% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.76% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.67% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.85%
Under 3.5 95.15%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 36.49%
Draw 26.68%
MK Dons 36.82%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 3.6% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.89% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.34% (+0.04)
Total : 36.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.68%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 36.82%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Aaron Nemane 17' goal
  • Will Collar 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 21'
  • yellowcard Darren Oldaker 53'
EFL Trophy
Nov 11, 2025 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
  • Harry Smith 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Sanders 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 68'
League Two Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 45'+4' goal
  • MJ Williams 57' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 64' goal
  • Callum Hendry 86' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Smith 1'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 62'
  • yellowcard Ian Holloway 63'
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT County Ground
  • Saidou Khan 45' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 75' yellowcard
  • Charlie Austin 89' goal
  • goal Stephen Wearne 4'
  • goal Stephen Wearne 8'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 29'
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Conor Grant 27' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 39' goal
  • Daniel Harvie 54' yellowcard
  • Warren O'Hora 66' goal
  • George McEachran 84' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Clayton 29'
  • yellowcard Saidou Khan 37'
  • yellowcard George McEachran 53'
  • goal Jake Young 59'
  • yellowcard Charlie Austin 86'
  • goal Frazer Blake-Tracy 90'+4'