League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley Town vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Oldham 2 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jay Williams

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
Swindon 1 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Crawley Town has a probability of 30.11% and a draw has a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Crawley Town win is 2-1 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).

Result

Crawley Town 30.11%
Draw 24.71%
Swindon Town 45.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.7% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.43%
Under 2.5 44.57%
Over 3.5 33.15%
Under 3.5 66.85%
Over 4.5 18.97% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.03% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Crawley Town 26.33%
Draw 40.27%
Swindon Town 33.4%

Team To Score First

Crawley Town 40.55%
No Goal 5.64%
Swindon Town 53.81%

Corners

Over 8 63.81%
Equal 8 10.54%
Under 8 25.64%
Over 9 52.55%
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 36.19%
Over 10.5 41.49%
Under 10.5 58.51%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 1.5 33.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.09% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.01%
Under 2.5 86.99%
Over 3.5 4.03%
Under 3.5 95.97%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.13% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.87% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.37% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.63% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.02% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 30.12%
Draw 24.7%
Swindon Town 45.15%
Crawley Town
2-1 @ 7.2%
1-0 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 30.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.7%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-1 @ 8.95%
0-2 @ 7.03%
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.23%
Other @ 7.78% (+0.02)
Total : 45.15%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ollie Palmer 53' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Forster 35'
  • yellowcard Harvey Davies 51'
  • yellowcard Jay Williams 82'
EFL Cup
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Ade Adeyemo 34' goal
  • Jack Roles 56' goal
  • Rafiq Khaleel 70' yellowcard
  • Jack Roles 78' yellowcard
  • Josh Flint 86' yellowcard
  • Jack Roles 88' goal
  • R 89' goal
  • goal Nnamdi Ofoborh 60'
  • goal Harry Smith 66'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Danilo Orsi 9' goal
  • Jack Roles 26' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 53' goal
  • goal Dan Kemp 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
  • Dan Kemp 34' goal
  • Jake Young 47' goal
  • Jake Young 51' goal
  • Jake Young 60' goal
  • Jake Young 71' goal
  • Tyrese Shade 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Williams 88'
League Two Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Charlie Austin 41' goal
  • Jake Cain 43' goal
  • goal Dom Telford 62'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Nick Tsaroulla 79' goal
  • Jack Powell 83' goal