Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.