Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.45% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%) , while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.