League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 0 - 0 Newport
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Tranmere 0 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Ryan Loft

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw has a probability of 22.77% and a win for Crawley Town has a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.78%) , while for a Crawley Town win it is 0-1 (6.08%).

Result

MK Dons 56.26% (-0.14)
Draw 22.77% (-0.02)
Crawley Town 20.94% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.02% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.41% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.59% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.22% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.78% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 30.34% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.66% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 18.33%
Under 4.5 81.67%

First Half Winner

MK Dons 44.01% (+0.01)
Draw 37.38% (-0.04)
Crawley Town 18.61% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

MK Dons 59.67% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.17% (-0.01)
Crawley Town 34.16% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.47% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.78%
Under 8 26.75% (-0.02)
Over 9 51.08% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 37.53% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 40.03% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 59.97% (-0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 52.36% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 47.64% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 26.65% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 73.35% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 11.04% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.96% (+0.01)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 55.98% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 44.02% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 23.77% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 76.23% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.11% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 92.89% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

MK Dons 56.25%
Draw 22.77%
Crawley Town 20.94%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.98%
Total : 56.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 22.77%
Crawley Town
0-1 @ 6.08% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.71% (+0.03)
Total : 20.94%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
May 11, 2024 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium mk
  • Max Dean 45'+1' goal
  • Jay Williams 61' yellowcard
  • MJ Williams 83' yellowcard
  • MJ Williams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Williams 3'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 30'
  • yellowcard Klaidi Lolos 40'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 48'
  • yellowcard Jack Tucker 63'
  • goal Jack Roles 80'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 90'+2'
League Two
May 7, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Liam Kelly 5' goal
  • Jay Williams 45'+1' goal
  • Laurence Maguire 51' yellowcard
  • Ronan Darcy 65' goal
  • Dion Conroy 66' yellowcard
  • Kellan Gordon 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 41'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 57'
League Two Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Joe Tomlinson 2' goal
  • Max Dean 17' yellowcard
  • Conor Grant 18' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbey 61' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbey 82' goal
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 7'
  • yellowcard Scott Lindsey 8'
  • redcard Laurence Maguire 85'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Nick Tsaroulla 15' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 52' goal
  • Jay Williams 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 27'
  • yellowcard Ethan Robson 65'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 90'+9'
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • Conor McGrandles 12' yellowcard
  • Kieran Agard 41' goal
  • Joe Walsh 80' yellowcard