Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.08% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.