League Two
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Shayne Francis Lavery 65' yellowcard
  • Elliott Nevitt 66' yellowcard
  • Korey Smith 66' yellowcard
  • Shayne Francis Lavery 75' goal
  • B. Purrington 80' yellowcard
  • S. Raggett 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 74'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 74'
  • yellowcard A. Collins 82'
  • yellowcard Joseph Tomlinson 82'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 90'+3'
  • yellowcard A. Collins 90'+6'

Cambridge United vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 0 - 2 Cambridge
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Sullay Kaikai

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 8.00pm
Walsall 0 - 2 MK Dons
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Cambridge United 39.02% (+0.11)
Draw 26.79% (-0.04)
MK Dons 34.19% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.69% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.38% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 26.62% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 49.17% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 50.83% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 27.28% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 72.72% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 14.72% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 85.28% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Cambridge United 28.62%
Draw 43.7%
MK Dons 27.68%

Team To Score First

Cambridge United 48.34% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.68% (-0.05)
MK Dons 43.98% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.19%
Equal 8 12.56%
Under 8 40.24%
Over 9 35.42%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 52.81%
Over 10.5 25.31%
Under 10.5 74.69%

Cambridge United Goals

Over 1.5 38.02% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 61.98% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 15.71% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 84.29% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 5.01% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.99% (-0.08)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 68.01% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.99% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.41% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 65.59% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.88% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.12% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.9% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.1% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Cambridge United 39.02%
Draw 26.78%
MK Dons 34.19%
Cambridge United
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 3.9% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.86% (+0.09)
Total : 39.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.78%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.33% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.75% (+0.03)
Total : 34.19%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Laurence Maguire 15' yellowcard
  • 15' yellowcard
  • Callum Paterson 42' goal
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Knight 52'
  • goal Sullay Kaikai 66'
League One Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Mohamed Eisa 35' goal
League One Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Harvey Knibbs 9' yellowcard
  • Harvey Knibbs 17' goal
  • Lloyd Jones 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henry Lawrence 41'
  • yellowcard Warren O'Hora 57'
  • yellowcard Daniel Oyegoke 89'
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Digby 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Kasumu 11'
  • yellowcard Warren O'Hora 51'
  • goal Warren O'Hora 60'
  • yellowcard Conor Coventry 88'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Scott Twine 13' goal
  • Max Watters 25' goal
  • Scott Twine 36' goal
  • David Kasumu 60' yellowcard
  • Max Watters 76' goal
  • yellowcard Jubril Okedina 42'
  • yellowcard George Williams 50'
  • goal Sam Smith 82'
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • Rhys Healey 5' goal
  • Kieran Agard 7' goal
  • Chuks Aneke 12' goal
  • Rhys Healey 63' goal
  • Mathieu Baudry 68' yellowcard
  • Kieran Agard 76' goal
  • Osman Sow 85' goal
  • yellowcard Liam O'Neil 62'
  • yellowcard Brad Halliday 86'