Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.78% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.