Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.45% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.