League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Newport 3 - 1 Tranmere
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Michael Spellman

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Chesterfield 3 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jack Payne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 30.41% and a draw has a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result

Newport County 30.41% (+0.04)
Draw 27.06% (+0.05)
Colchester United 42.52% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.3% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.14% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.86% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 44.56% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.41%
Over 3.5 23.17% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.83% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.15% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.85% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Newport County 24.68% (+0.06)
Draw 43.62% (-0.04)
Colchester United 31.7% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Newport County 38.64% (+0.05)
No Goal 8.74% (+0.02)
Colchester United 52.62% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.44% (+0.38)
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 32.88% (-0.38)
Over 9 43.75% (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.69% (+0.04)
Under 9 44.56% (-0.38)
Over 10.5 33.02% (+0.29)
Under 10.5 66.98% (-0.29)

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 28.72% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.28% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.7%
Under 2.5 90.3%
Over 3.5 2.65%
Under 3.5 97.35%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 72.07% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.93% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.16% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.84% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.03% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newport County 30.42%
Draw 27.07%
Colchester United 42.53%
Newport County
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.74% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.07%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 11.7% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.88% (-0.03)
Total : 42.53%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kyrell Lisbie 22' goal
  • Samson Tovide 43' goal
  • Micah Mbick 64' goal
  • Ellis Iandolo 78' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Smith 2'
  • yellowcard Cameron Evans 31'
  • goal Sammy Braybroke 66'
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Matthew Baker 27' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Brennan 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyreece Simpson 72'
  • goal Fiacre Kelleher 88'
  • goal Anthony Scully 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Mandela Egbo 19' yellowcard
  • Samson Tovide 51' yellowcard
  • Tom Flanagan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane McLoughlin 42'
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Cameron McGeehan 67' yellowcard
  • Ellis Iandolo 75' goal
  • Samson Tovide 84' yellowcard
  • Jay Mingi 90'+2' goal
  • goal Offrande Zanzala 42'
  • yellowcard Lewis Payne 67'
  • yellowcard James Waite 81'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 3 3
FT Rodney Parade
  • Aaron Wildig 36' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 36' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 36' yellowcard
  • Shane McLoughlin 41' yellowcard
  • Shane McLoughlin 41' yellowcard
  • Shane McLoughlin 41' yellowcard
  • Will Evans 43' goal
  • Will Evans 43' goal
  • Will Evans 43' goal
  • Omar Bogle 63' goal
  • Omar Bogle 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 18'
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 18'
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 18'
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 18'
  • yellowcard Ben Garner 19'
  • yellowcard Ben Garner 19'
  • goal Samson Tovide 34'
  • goal Samson Tovide 34'
  • goal Samson Tovide 34'
  • redcard Arthur Read 89'
  • redcard Arthur Read 89'
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium