Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.