Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.