Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%) , while for a Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.