Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.