Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.