League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Tyrell Sellars-Fleming 58' goal
  • Evan Khouri 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Vernam 69' yellowcard
  • Clark Odour 76' yellowcard
  • Jaze Kabia 83' yellowcard
  • Justin Amaluzor 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paddy Madden 63'
  • yellowcard Freddie Sass 63'
  • yellowcard D. Abimbola 77'
  • yellowcard Charlie Brown 88'

Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Newport 0 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Darragh Burns

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 8.01pm
Accrington 1 - 0 Salford City
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Alex Henderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Grimsby Town 47.97% (+0.62)
Draw 24.8% (-0.15)
Accrington Stanley 27.26% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.71% (+0.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.62% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 23.38% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 52.98% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 47.02% (-0.77)
Over 3.5 30.29% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 69.71% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 17% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 83% (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Grimsby Town 35.74% (+0.61)
Draw 43.13% (-0.10)
Accrington Stanley 21.13% (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Grimsby Town 55.88% (+1.92)
No Goal 6.43% (-0.23)
Accrington Stanley 37.69% (-1.70)

Corners

Over 8 62.55% (+0.95)
Equal 8 10.97% (-0.19)
Under 8 26.48% (-0.77)
Over 9 50.94% (+1.06)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.11)
Under 9 37.45% (-0.95)
Over 10.5 39.67% (+1.08)
Under 10.5 60.33% (-1.08)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 1.5 46.57% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 53.43% (-0.76)
Over 2.5 21.18% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 78.82% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 7.68% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 92.32% (-0.25)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 63.48% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.52% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 30.37% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 69.63% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 10.63% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 89.37% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 2.93% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.07% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Grimsby Town 47.97%
Draw 24.79%
Accrington Stanley 27.24%
Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.26% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.3% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.62% (+0.21)
Total : 47.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 5.52% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.03)
Total : 24.79%
Accrington Stanley
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.62% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.87% (-0.03)
Total : 27.24%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Wham Stadium
  • Ben Woods 9' goal
  • Donald Love 35' yellowcard
  • Liam Coyle 44' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 60' goal
  • Ben Woods 82' goal
  • Alex Henderson 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Green 5'
  • goal Evan Khouri 39'
  • yellowcard Evan Khouri 74'
League Two Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 4 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Harvey Rodgers 2' goal
  • Jayden Luker 11' goal
  • Justin Obikwu 19' goal
  • Jordan Davies 33' goal
  • Sonny Aljofree 68' goal
  • yellowcard Nelson Khumbeni 31'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 40'
  • goal Alex Henderson 63'
  • goal Josh Woods 79'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 89'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Connor O'Brien 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Ben Woods 49' yellowcard
  • Ben Woods 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denver Hume 79'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Luke Waterfall 17' yellowcard
  • Luke Waterfall 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Tommy Leigh 51'
  • yellowcard Dan Martin 66'
  • goal Shaun Whalley 74'
  • goal Josh Andrews 82'
EFL Trophy
Nov 22, 2022 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
  • goal Tommy Leigh 66'