Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.84% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%) , while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.