League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury Town vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
George Lloyd

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Bromley 0 - 0 Notts County
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Shrewsbury Town has a probability of 30.95% and a draw has a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win is 1-0 (9.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.15%).

Result

Shrewsbury Town 30.95% (-0.06)
Draw 27.62% (-0.01)
Notts County 41.43% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.71% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.09% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.91% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 44.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.47% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.8% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.2% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Shrewsbury Town 22.44% (+0.02)
Draw 47.28% (-0.01)
Notts County 30.28%

Team To Score First

Shrewsbury Town 38.12% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.6% (-0.02)
Notts County 53.28% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55% (+0.15)
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 32.87% (-0.17)
Over 9 42.9% (+0.15)
Equal 9 12.1% (+0.01)
Under 9 45% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 31.86% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 68.14% (-0.11)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 1.5 29.34% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.66% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.94% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.06% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.64%
Under 3.5 97.36%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 72.09% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 27.91% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.6% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.4% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.57% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.43% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.3% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.7% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Shrewsbury Town 30.94%
Draw 27.63%
Notts County 41.43%
Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.63%
Notts County
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.22% (+0.02)
Total : 41.43%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 20, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Joshua Kayode 67' goal
  • Jordan Shipley 70' goal
  • Jordan Shipley 83' goal
  • Luca Hoole 86' yellowcard
  • Jordan Rossiter 90' yellowcard
  • goal Conor Grant 4'
  • goal Sam Austin 23'
  • yellowcard David McGoldrick 80'
  • goal Alassana Jatta 89'
FA Cup
Dec 1, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Richard Brindley 38' goal
  • John Bostock 72' yellowcard
  • James Sanderson 75' goal
  • goal Ryan Bowman 1'
  • yellowcard Chey Dunkley 16'
  • goal Ryan Bowman 49'
  • goal Ryan Bowman 56'
  • yellowcard Marko Marosi 86'
League One
Feb 22, 2014 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jack Grealish 8' goal
  • Alan Sheehan 13' goal
  • Alan Sheehan 22' yellowcard
  • James Spencer 44' redcard
  • goal Jon Taylor 32'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mills 39'
  • yellowcard Connor Goldson 50'
  • goal Jon Taylor 67'
  • goal David McAllister 70'
League One
Nov 23, 2013 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adam Reach 73' goal
  • yellowcard Andre Boucaud 31'
League One
Dec 26, 2012 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Luke Rodgers 19' goal
  • Connor Goldson 56' yellowcard
  • John Taylor 60' yellowcard
  • John Taylor 81' goal
  • goal Lee Hughes 24'
  • goal Jamal Campbell-Ryce 45'
  • yellowcard Gary Liddle 78'
  • yellowcard Jeff Hughes 90'