Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.