Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.