Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 65.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.67% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%) , while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.