Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 4, 2026 at 4pm UK
 
Tanzania national football team

1st Group A
vs.
3rd Group C/D/E

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Round of 16 clash between Morocco and Tanzania.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
This competition
Last Game: Zambia 0-3 Morocco
Monday, December 29 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
This competition
Last Game: Tanzania 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, December 30 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a 1st Group A win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for 3rd Group C/D/E has a probability of 39.97% and a draw has a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a 1st Group A win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-2 (5.14%) and 3-1 (4.85%). The likeliest 3rd Group C/D/E win is 1-2 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 2-2 (7.28%).

Result
MoroccoDrawTanzania
39.97%20.06%39.97%
Both teams to score 77.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.47%20.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.15%38.85%
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.98%12.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.52%37.48%
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.98%12.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.52%37.48%
Score Analysis
    Morocco 39.97%
    Tanzania 39.97%
    Draw 20.06%
MoroccoDrawTanzania
2-1 @ 6.87%
3-2 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 4.85%
2-0 @ 3.24%
1-0 @ 3.06%
4-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 2.29%
4-3 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 39.97%
2-2 @ 7.28%
1-1 @ 6.48%
3-3 @ 3.63%
0-0 @ 1.44%
4-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 6.87%
2-3 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 3.24%
0-1 @ 3.06%
2-4 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.29%
3-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-5 @ 1.15%
1-5 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 39.97%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2025 6pm
Quarter-finals
Tanzania
0-1
Morocco
Mar 25, 2025 9.30pm
Group Stage
Morocco
2-0
Tanzania
Aguerd (51'), Diaz (58' pen.)

Hussein (25')
Jan 17, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Morocco
3-0
Tanzania
Saiss (30'), Ounahi (77'), En-Nesyri (80')
Saiss (52'), Chibi (61')

Mao (22'), Dismas (32'), M'Mombwa (61'), Hussein (90+6')
Dismas (70')
Nov 21, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Tanzania
0-2
Morocco

Mao (18'), Dismas (36'), Mwaikenda (74')
Dismas (65')
Ziyech (28'), Mwaikenda (53' og.)
Mazraoui (13'), Hakimi (52'), Amrabat (65'), Ziyech (74')
rhs 2.0


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