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Africa Cup of Nations

Tanzania national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 30, 2025 at 4pm UK
 
Tunisia national football team

Tanzania
1 - 1
Tunisia

Salum (48')
Hamad (41'), Hamad (42'), Nondo (57'), Msuva (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gharbi (43' pen.)
Valery (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Tanzania and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions
This competition
Last Game: Tanzania 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, December 30 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Tunisia

All competitions
This competition
Last Game: Tanzania 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, December 30 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.31% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Tanzania win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
TanzaniaDrawTunisia
22.57% (-0.408 -0.41)26.31% (-0.238 -0.24)51.12% (0.646 0.65)
Both teams to score 45.56% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.34% (0.479 0.48)57.66% (-0.479 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (0.377 0.38)78.42% (-0.377 -0.38)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.91% (-0.127 -0.13)41.09% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.36% (-0.115 -0.12)77.64% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (0.491 0.49)22.66% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (0.721 0.72)56.3% (-0.722 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Tanzania 22.57%
    Tunisia 51.11%
    Draw 26.31%
TanzaniaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 5.47% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.2%
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.57%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 13.82% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 10.26% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 51.11%