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Africa Cup of Nations

Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 27, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Tanzania national football team

Uganda
vs.
Tanzania

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Uganda and Tanzania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 4-0 Uganda
Tuesday, November 18 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Tunisia vs. Uganda
Tuesday, December 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Tanzania

All competitions
Last Game: Kuwait 4-3 Tanzania
Saturday, November 15 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Nigeria vs. Tanzania
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uganda win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw has a probability of 27.28% and a win for Tanzania has a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (12.35%) , while for a Tanzania win it is 0-1 (8.31%).

Result
UgandaDrawTanzania
55.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)27.28%17.7%
Both teams to score 37.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)65.2% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)84.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.56%
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)85.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 55.01%
    Tanzania 17.7%
    Draw 27.27%
UgandaDrawTanzania
1-0 @ 17.52%
2-0 @ 12.42%
2-1 @ 8.36%
3-0 @ 5.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.95%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 55.01%
0-0 @ 12.35%
1-1 @ 11.79%
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 8.31%
1-2 @ 3.97%
0-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 17.7%

Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Tanzania
0-1
Uganda
Mato (90+1')
Mar 24, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Uganda
0-1
Tanzania
Msuva (68')
Sep 24, 2022 6pm
International Friendly
Tanzania
1-0
Uganda
Msuva (29')
Dec 9, 2021
4.30pm
Friendlies 1
Tanzania   Fallback club logo
vs.
Fallback club logo   Uganda