Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 27, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Uganda
1 - 1
Tanzania

Ikpeazu (80')
Semakula (45+5'), Masinde Onyango (71'), Ikpeazu (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Msuva (59' pen.)
Job (73'), Mnoga (88'), Mnoga (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Uganda and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Tanzania
Saturday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Uganda vs. Nigeria
Tuesday, December 30 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Tanzania

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Tanzania
Saturday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Tanzania vs. Tunisia
Tuesday, December 30 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.21% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%) , while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Tanzania
53.99% ( -1.59)	27.21% ( 1.57)	18.79% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 38.75% (

-3.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.03% (

-4.85)

63.97% (

4.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.84% (

-3.6)

83.16% (

3.6)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-2.75)

24.12% (

2.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

-4.07)

58.42% (

4.07)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.07% (

-2.87)

48.93% (

2.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.09% (

-2.14)

83.91% (

2.14)

Score Analysis

Uganda 53.99%

Tanzania 18.79%

Draw 27.21%

Uganda	Draw	Tanzania
1-0 @ 16.78% ( 1.6) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.56) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.63) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.15% Total : 53.99%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 11.8% ( 1.96) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.47) Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.79%