Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Tanzania
0 - 1
Uganda

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mato (90+1')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Tanzania and Uganda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 0-1 Tanzania
Friday, March 24 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 0-1 Tanzania
Friday, March 24 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Tanzania	Draw	Uganda
44.22% ( 0.03)	32.08% ( 0.07)	23.7% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 33.65% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

26.81% (

-0.2)

73.19% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

10.8% (

-0.12)

89.2% (

0.12)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26% (

-0.09)

33.74% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6% (

-0.1)

70.4% (

0.1)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.78% (

-0.23)

49.22% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.89% (

-0.16)

84.11% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Tanzania 44.21%

Uganda 23.7%

Draw 32.07%

Tanzania	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 18.04% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.21%	0-0 @ 16.6% ( 0.12) 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 32.07%	0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.7%