Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Tanzania had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Tanzania win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.