Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 4, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stade de l'Amitié

Niger
1 - 1
Tanzania

Sosah (26')
Oumarou (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mpole (1')
Mnoga (9'), Manula (61'), Hussein (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Niger and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

Last Six:

Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Niger
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Algeria vs. Niger
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Tanzania

Last Six:

Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Algeria
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Tanzania had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Tanzania win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Niger	Draw	Tanzania
39.06% ( 0.01)	26% ( -0.01)	34.94% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7% (

0.06)

50.3% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.76% (

0.06)

72.24% (

-0.05)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

0.03)

25.27% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.96% (

0.04)

60.04% (

-0.04)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

0.04)

27.62% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

0.04)

63.16% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Niger 39.06%

Tanzania 34.94%

Draw 26%

Niger	Draw	Tanzania
1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.06%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.94%