Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Algeria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Algeria.