Uzbekistan vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Uganda win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.