International Friendly
Mar 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Markaziy Stadion
Uzbekistan4 - 2Uganda
Masharipov (35'), Shomurodov (39', 55', 72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Uzbekistan and Uganda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uzbekistan 4-2 Uganda
Tuesday, March 29 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 29 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Niger
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Uganda win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Uganda |
| 49.54% | 25.08% | 25.38% |
| Both teams to score 51.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
