Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 20, 2022 at 4pm UK

Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Algeria

Kessie (22'), Sangare (39'), Pepe (54')
Deli (12'), Aurier (12'), Maiga (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bendebka (73')
Brahimi (78'), Boulaya (84')

Reaction

Riyad Mahrez celebrates scoring for Manchester City in November 2021

Manchester City's Riyad Mahrez to return early after AFCON holders Algeria crash out in group stage

Riyad Mahrez is to return to Manchester City early after AFCON holders Algeria suffer a surprise exit at the group stage following their 3-1 lost to Ivory Coast.

Jan 20, 18:42

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ivory Coast and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Algeria
42.32%	27.08%	30.6%

Both teams to score 49.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.32%

55.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17%

76.83%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74%

26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97%

61.03%

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8%

33.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19%

69.8%

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 42.31%

Algeria 30.6%

Draw 27.08%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.31%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.6%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Algeria

Ivory Coast

40.0%

Draw

22.5%

Algeria

37.5%