Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2022 at 4pm UK
Ivory Coast3 - 1Algeria
We said: Ivory Coast 1-1 Algeria
Algeria have been nothing short of disappointing so far as they failed to pick up a win against the two weakest sides in the group. While we expect the Greens to throw in the kitchen sink in search of all three points, we are tipping the Elephants to cancel out their efforts and force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Algeria |
| 42.32% | 27.08% | 30.6% |
| Both teams to score 49.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
