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World Cup

Ivory Coast national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 11, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
Malawi national football team

Ivory Coast
2 - 1
Malawi

Pepe (2'), Kessie (66' pen.)
Bailly (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muyaba (20')
Chirwa (4'), Idana (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ivory Coast and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawMalawi
57.38%24.26%18.36%
Both teams to score 45.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19%54.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89%76.11%
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04%18.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51%50.49%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99%44.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87%80.13%
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 57.37%
    Malawi 18.36%
    Draw 24.25%
Ivory CoastDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 13.87%
2-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 5.25%
4-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 57.37%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.85%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.36%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Malawi

Ivory Coast
90.9%
Draw
4.5%
Malawi
4.5%
44