Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2022 at 4pm UK
Ivory Coast2 - 2Sierra Leone
We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Sierra Leone
Sierra Leone punched significantly above their weight and will take huge belief from that performance heading into this weekend's game. However, we are tipping Ivory Coast to come away with all three points and confirm their place in the round of 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ivory Coast | Draw | Sierra Leone |
55.39% | 24.85% | 19.76% |
Both teams to score 45.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.76% | 55.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.53% | 76.47% |
Ivory Coast Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.1% | 19.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.98% | 52.02% |
Sierra Leone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.35% | 42.65% |