Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 34.15%. A win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 32.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 2-1 (6.24%). The likeliest Ivory Coast win was 0-1 (14.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 34.15% | 32.43% | 33.42% |
| Both teams to score 36.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.06% | 71.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.55% | 88.45% |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.45% | 39.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.76% | 76.24% |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% | 40.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% | 76.73% |
| Score Analysis |
Malawi 34.14%
Ivory Coast 33.42%
Draw 32.42%
| Malawi | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 14.7% 2-0 @ 6.82% 2-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.14% | 0-0 @ 15.85% 1-1 @ 13.44% 2-2 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.28% Total : 32.42% | 0-1 @ 14.49% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.27% Total : 33.42% |
How you voted: Malawi vs Ivory Coast
Malawi
13.3%Draw
15.0%Ivory Coast
71.7%60


